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Why Not More Excitement About Prediction Aggregation? Posted on August 3, 2017 by Scott Alexander There’s a new ad on the sidebar for Metaculus , a crowd-sourced prediction engine that tries to get well-calibrated forecasts on mostly scientific topics.
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In the winter of 2017, the markets were piping hot and yet, ICOs were cooling off. Uncertainties caused by ICO bans were partly to blame for the dip in confidence, especially the prohibitions from South Korea and China which are two very prominent market forces. This news further fuelled the doubt of cryptocurrencies and the technology being
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2018/08/07 · Augur is an open source blockchain platform that allows people to wager on future events.In theory this isn’t illegal, but the abilities that it gives its users are worrying authorities. Augur’s “death-pools” have been the most notable instance of Augur being used for activity that is illegal in the USA, but the capacity that Augur to create an unregulated options market is potentially
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F O R EWO R D nicholas canny. A book entitled Ireland and the British Empire might well have been published any time between 1880 and 1904. Then the character of its author and the nature of its
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2020/04/01 · With the aim of creating an overview and consolidating this stream of research, the present paper offers a brief historical overview of research on digitization and digitalization in business-to-business markets – concluding that this discussion has a long tradition and, thus, is not a …
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2018/10/19 · That seemed like a clear reference to markets that have already appeared on Augur, the Ethereum-based platform that allows users to set up markets for …
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Prediction Markets: When Do They Work? | Hacker News
On pages 52 and 53 they write uncritically about Marc Andresseen and VCs who have invested in Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. a16z, the venture firm co-founded by Andresseen, arguably has a few areas that may be conflicts-of-interest with the various coin-related projects it has invested in and/or promoted the past several years (e.g., investing in coins which are listed on an exchange they also
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Dark web is a market and networks of people who do all sorts of not so legal stuff These includes networks of hit men seller of illegal drugs – ecstasy heroin cannabis etc dealer of high-powered guns and ammo bitcoin trading markets and many more Basically it’s a black market: 1: bitcoin forex trading: 1
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Just In. Calls For Bringing Voting To The Blockchain Grow After Iowa Caucus Debacle; A Recent Tweet By Whale Panda Regarding Tron Earned Him Some Serious Flack; How Ethereum devs
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markets to create, and resolves these markets. Users can buy and sell shares but cannot create or resolve markets. Critics claim that the central ownership makes these platforms unnecessarily expensive (fees range from 3% to 10% of profits) and potentially susceptible to manipulation.
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This seems to be a massive flaw in the gambling markets that they propose. For example, let's say Augur (or any number of competitors) host a market on a football match, where team A are supremely better than team B. The odds on A will be extremely short, and there will be far far more people backing team A than team B.
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2018/07/26 · These markets matter enough to get talked about and attract some money when they involve major events like presidential elections, but tend to be quite pathetic for anything less than that. The second is economics. There are lots of stocks and futures and options and other such products available for purchase.
Augur (REP) Demonstrates Emerging Regulatory Dilemma for
As Crypto Meets Prediction Markets, Regulators Take Notice - "creating a way to bet on the value of goods in the future is basically the definition of a type of derivative known as a binary option, yet Augur hasn't sought approval from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to list such contracts a contract listed on the site may be worth
Augur May Become the Greatest Gambling - Reason.com
Binary options trading is a form of wagering on the direction of the financial markets and has several characteristics that resemble gambling. Although several binary options brokers and companies swear by the authenticity of binary options trading as a viable investment product, there is indeed a gaming aspect to binary options.
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Talk:Augur (software) - Wikipedia
However who’s promoting them? Who’s responsible for an illegal smart contract, or a authorized smart contract used for illegal functions? On decentralised techniques the reply is not fairly clear, and duty might arguably land on: The platform builders themselves, […]
bitcoins – Page 165 – Bitcoin Global Canada
Fortunejack is a Bitcoin casino that offers its users a unique mix of virtual and live casino games. There is also the possibility of binary options trading and custom cryptocurrency price betting in a scheme that is known as AnyBet. All of the players on Fortunejack can find …
Ireland and the british empire by Bernadett - Issuu
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How do you place bets and create markets? Those are a little bit more complicated so maybe it’s easier to talk about the binary option. Binary options are fairly interesting because binary option is an existing financial instrument, and prediction markets as a class sort of mimic their pay where there’s a threshold, and one thing
This new blockchain-based betting platform could cause
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2020/04/04 · But lots of binary choices are considered deceptive or gambling, which explains the reason why they're strictly controlled in the U.S., and illegal sockets are chased by FBI global.
This New Blockchain-Based Betting Platform Could Cause
2016/10/26 · Augur, which recently entered beta, is a decentralized prediction market fueled by virtual currency. Users are free to offer or match a plethora of sports-related options. Many markets will pose binary "Yes" or "No" questions, like, "Will the Chicago Cubs win the World Series in 2016?" for example.
Bitcoin Is It A Security - Race Calendar
2018/08/02 · In 2012, the CFTC sued Intrade, an Ireland-based prediction market, accusing it of permitting US users to trade binary options, and eventually a judge blocked Intrade from offering the …
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